About This Market
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Live prediction market odds for Knicks vs. Pelicans. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-12-29
This market resolved on 2025-12-29. New York was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 86%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|
New YorkWINNER | 99% | 74% |
New Orleans | 1% | 27% |
Knicks vs. Pelicans was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). New York led the market at 86% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include New Orleans at 14%.
New York held the lead at 86% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind New York, New Orleans at 14% were the next closest contenders. The 25.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: New York: 99¢ on Kalshi, 74¢ on Polymarket. New Orleans: 1¢ on Kalshi, 27¢ on Polymarket. The 25.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 86¢ meant the market estimated a 86% chance that New York would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 86¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 16% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
New York
86.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf New Orleans wins the New York vs New Orleans professional basketball game originally scheduled for Dec 29, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.