About This Market
ShareThis market has resolved.
Live prediction market odds for Knicks vs. Kings. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-14
This market resolved on 2026-01-14. Sacramento was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 59%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|
SacramentoWINNER | 99% | 20% |
New York | 1% | 81% |
Knicks vs. Kings was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Sacramento led the market at 59% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include New York at 41%.
Sacramento held the lead at 59% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Sacramento, New York at 41% were the next closest contenders. The 79.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Sacramento: 99¢ on Kalshi, 20¢ on Polymarket. New York: 1¢ on Kalshi, 81¢ on Polymarket. The 79.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 59¢ meant the market estimated a 59% chance that Sacramento would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 59¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 69% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Sacramento
59.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Sacramento wins the New York at Sacramento professional basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.