Live prediction market odds for Thunder vs. Nuggets. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-02-01
This market resolved on 2026-02-01. Oklahoma City was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 83%.
nba-okc-den-2026-02-01 : Sports event: Thunder vs. Nuggets - nba
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Oklahoma CityWINNER | 99% | 68% |
Denver Nuggets | 1% | 33% |
Thunder vs. Nuggets was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Oklahoma City led the market at 83% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Denver Nuggets at 17%.
Oklahoma City held the lead at 83% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Oklahoma City, Denver Nuggets at 17% were the next closest contenders. The 31.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Oklahoma City: 99¢ on Kalshi, 68¢ on Polymarket. Denver Nuggets: 1¢ on Kalshi, 33¢ on Polymarket. The 31.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 83¢ meant the market estimated a 83% chance that Oklahoma City would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 83¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 20% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Oklahoma City
83.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Oklahoma City wins the Oklahoma City at Denver professional basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
