Live prediction market odds for Thunder vs. Rockets. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-15
This market resolved on 2026-01-15. Oklahoma City was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 80%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Oklahoma CityWINNER | 99% | 61% |
Houston Rockets | 1% | 40% |
Thunder vs. Rockets was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Oklahoma City led the market at 80% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Houston Rockets at 20%.
Oklahoma City held the lead at 80% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Oklahoma City, Houston Rockets at 20% were the next closest contenders. The 38.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Oklahoma City: 99¢ on Kalshi, 61¢ on Polymarket. Houston Rockets: 1¢ on Kalshi, 40¢ on Polymarket. The 38.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 80¢ meant the market estimated a 80% chance that Oklahoma City would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 80¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 25% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Oklahoma City
79.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Houston wins the Oklahoma City at Houston professional basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
