Question 1

What was "Thunder vs. Lakers" and why did it matter?

Accepted Answer

Thunder vs. Lakers was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Oklahoma City led the market at 77% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Los Angeles Lakers at 25%.

Question 2

What moved the odds on "Thunder vs. Lakers"?

Accepted Answer

Oklahoma City held the lead at 77% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Oklahoma City, Los Angeles Lakers at 25% were the next closest contenders. The 42.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

Question 3

What were the final odds for "Thunder vs. Lakers" across platforms?

Accepted Answer

Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Oklahoma City: 99¢ on Kalshi, 70¢ on Polymarket, 61¢ on ProphetX. Los Angeles Lakers: 1¢ on Kalshi, 31¢ on Polymarket, 43¢ on ProphetX. The 42.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

Question 4

What did 77% odds for Oklahoma City mean?

Accepted Answer

A price of 77¢ meant the market estimated a 77% chance that Oklahoma City would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 77¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 30% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.

Candidate
Oklahoma CityWINNER	99%	70%	61%
Los Angeles Lakers	1%	31%	43%

Oklahoma City Wins: Thunder vs. Lakers

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Frequently Asked Questions

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: Thunder vs. Lakers