Live prediction market odds for Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Los Angeles Lakers. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-05-09
This market resolved on 2026-05-09. Oklahoma City Thunder was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Los Angeles Lakers — NBA game held on 2026-05-09. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Oklahoma City ThunderWINNER | 99% | 77% | 99% |
Los Angeles Lakers | 1% | 23% | 14% |
Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Los Angeles Lakers was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Oklahoma City Thunder led the market at 92% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Los Angeles Lakers at 13%.
Oklahoma City Thunder held the lead at 92% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Oklahoma City Thunder, Los Angeles Lakers at 13% were the next closest contenders. The 22.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Oklahoma City Thunder: 99¢ on Kalshi, 77¢ on Polymarket, 99¢ on ProphetX. Los Angeles Lakers: 1¢ on Kalshi, 23¢ on Polymarket, 14¢ on ProphetX. The 22.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 92¢ meant the market estimated a 92% chance that Oklahoma City Thunder would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 92¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 9% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Oklahoma City wins the Game 3: Oklahoma City at Los Angeles L professional basketball game originally scheduled for May 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketIn the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 9 at 8:30PM ET: If the Thunder win, the market will resolve to "Thunder". If the Lakers win, the market will resolve to "Lakers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
Oklahoma City Thunder
91.5% avg
