Live prediction market odds for Thunder vs. Timberwolves. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-12-19
This market resolved on 2025-12-19. Minnesota Timberwolves was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 64%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Minnesota TimberwolvesWINNER | 99% | 30% |
Oklahoma City | 1% | 71% |
Thunder vs. Timberwolves was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Minnesota Timberwolves led the market at 64% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Oklahoma City at 36%.
Minnesota Timberwolves held the lead at 64% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Minnesota Timberwolves, Oklahoma City at 36% were the next closest contenders. The 69.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Minnesota Timberwolves: 99¢ on Kalshi, 30¢ on Polymarket. Oklahoma City: 1¢ on Kalshi, 71¢ on Polymarket. The 69.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 64¢ meant the market estimated a 64% chance that Minnesota Timberwolves would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 64¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 56% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Minnesota Timberwolves
64.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Minnesota wins the Oklahoma City vs Minnesota professional basketball game originally scheduled for Dec 19, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
