Live prediction market odds for Thunder vs. Suns. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-04
This market resolved on 2026-01-04. Phoenix was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 61%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
PhoenixWINNER | 99% | 24% |
Oklahoma City | 1% | 77% |
Thunder vs. Suns was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Phoenix led the market at 61% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Oklahoma City at 39%.
Phoenix held the lead at 61% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Phoenix, Oklahoma City at 39% were the next closest contenders. The 75.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Phoenix: 99¢ on Kalshi, 24¢ on Polymarket. Oklahoma City: 1¢ on Kalshi, 77¢ on Polymarket. The 75.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 61¢ meant the market estimated a 61% chance that Phoenix would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 61¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 64% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Phoenix
61.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Phoenix wins the Oklahoma City vs Phoenix professional basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
