Live prediction market odds for Thunder vs. Suns. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-02-11
This market resolved on 2026-02-11. Oklahoma City was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 70%.
nba-okc-phx-2026-02-11 : Sports event: Thunder vs. Suns - nba
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Oklahoma CityWINNER | 70% | 70% | 95% |
Phoenix | 32% | 31% | 10% |
Thunder vs. Suns was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Oklahoma City led the market at 78% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Phoenix at 24%.
Oklahoma City held the lead at 78% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Oklahoma City, Phoenix at 24% were the next closest contenders. The 25.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Oklahoma City: 70¢ on Kalshi, 70¢ on Polymarket, 95¢ on ProphetX. Phoenix: 32¢ on Kalshi, 31¢ on Polymarket, 10¢ on ProphetX. The 25.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 78¢ meant the market estimated a 78% chance that Oklahoma City would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 78¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 28% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Oklahoma City
78.2% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Oklahoma City wins the Oklahoma City at Phoenix professional basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
