Live prediction market odds for Thunder vs. Spurs. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-12-23
This market resolved on 2025-12-23. San Antonio was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 88%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
San AntonioWINNER | 99% | 77% |
San AntonioWINNER | 99% | 33% |
Oklahoma City | 1% | 68% |
Oklahoma City | 1% | 24% |
Thunder vs. Spurs was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). San Antonio led the market at 88% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include San Antonio at 66%, Oklahoma City at 34%, Oklahoma City at 12%.
San Antonio held the lead at 88% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind San Antonio, San Antonio at 66% and Oklahoma City at 34% and Oklahoma City at 12% were the next closest contenders. The 66.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: San Antonio: 99¢ on Kalshi, 77¢ on Polymarket. San Antonio: 99¢ on Kalshi, 33¢ on Polymarket. Oklahoma City: 1¢ on Kalshi, 68¢ on Polymarket. Oklahoma City: 1¢ on Kalshi, 24¢ on Polymarket. The 66.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 88¢ meant the market estimated a 88% chance that San Antonio would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 88¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 14% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
San Antonio
87.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf San Antonio wins the Oklahoma City vs San Antonio professional basketball game originally scheduled for Dec 23, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
