Live prediction market odds for Oklahoma City Thunder vs. San Antonio Spurs. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-05-22
This market resolved on 2026-05-22. Oklahoma City wins by over 1.5 points was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs. San Antonio Spurs — NBA game held on 2026-05-22. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Oklahoma City wins by over 1.5 pointsWINNER | 99% | — | — |
Oklahoma City wins by over 10.5 points | 99% | — | — |
Oklahoma City wins by over 11.5 points | 99% | — |
Oklahoma City Thunder vs. San Antonio Spurs was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Oklahoma City wins by over 1.5 points led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Oklahoma City wins by over 10.5 points at 99%, Oklahoma City wins by over 11.5 points at 99%, Oklahoma City wins by over 12.5 points at 99%.
Oklahoma City wins by over 1.5 points held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Oklahoma City wins by over 1.5 points, Oklahoma City wins by over 10.5 points at 99% and Oklahoma City wins by over 11.5 points at 99% and Oklahoma City wins by over 12.5 points at 99% were the next closest contenders. The 76.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Oklahoma City wins by over 1.5 points: 99¢ on Kalshi. Oklahoma City wins by over 10.5 points: 99¢ on Kalshi. Oklahoma City wins by over 11.5 points: 99¢ on Kalshi. Oklahoma City wins by over 12.5 points: 99¢ on Kalshi. The 76.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 99¢ meant the market estimated a 99% chance that Oklahoma City wins by over 1.5 points would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 99¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 1% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf San Antonio wins the Game 3: Oklahoma City at San Antonio professional basketball game originally scheduled for May 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketIn the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 22 at 8:30PM ET: If the Thunder win, the market will resolve to "Thunder". If the Spurs win, the market will resolve to "Spurs". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
| — |
Oklahoma City wins by over 12.5 points | 99% | — | — |
Oklahoma City wins by over 13.5 points | 99% | — | — |
Oklahoma City wins by over 14.5 points | 99% | — | — |
Oklahoma City wins by over 2.5 points | 99% | — | — |
Oklahoma City wins by over 4.5 points | 99% | — | — |
Oklahoma City wins by over 5.5 points | 99% | — | — |
Oklahoma City wins by over 7.5 points | 99% | — | — |
Oklahoma City wins by over 8.5 points | 99% | — | — |
Oklahoma City wins the 1H by over 3.5 points | 99% | — | — |
Oklahoma City wins the 1H by over 6.5 points | 99% | — | — |
Over 103.5 1H points scored | 99% | — | — |
Over 200.5 points scored | 99% | — | — |
Over 203.5 points scored | 99% | — | — |
Over 206.5 points scored | 99% | — | — |
Over 209.5 points scored | 99% | — | — |
Over 212.5 points scored | 99% | — | — |
Over 218.5 points scored | 99% | — | — |
Over 221.5 points scored | 99% | — | — |
Over 224.5 points scored | 99% | — | — |
Over 227.5 points scored | 99% | — | — |
Over 230.5 points scored | 99% | — | — |
Over 94.5 1H points scored | 99% | — | — |
Over 97.5 1H points scored | 99% | — | — |
Over 100.5 1H points scored | 96% | — | — |
Oklahoma City Thunder spread plus 11.5 | — | 77% | — |
San Antonio Spurs spread plus 9.5 | — | 77% | — |
Total over 207.5 | — | 75% | — |
Oklahoma City Thunder spread plus 8.5 | — | 71% | — |
Total over 210.5 | — | 71% | — |
Oklahoma City Thunder | 99% | 46% | 95% |
San Antonio Spurs spread plus 6.5 | — | 69% | — |
Total under 225.5 | — | 65% | — |
Total over 213.5 | — | 63% | — |
Oklahoma City Thunder spread plus 5.5 | — | 61% | — |
San Antonio Spurs spread plus 3.5 | — | 61% | — |
Total over 215.5 | 99% | 59% | — |
Total 1H over 105.5 | — | 58% | — |
Total under 222.5 | — | 58% | — |
Total over 216.5 | — | 56% | — |
San Antonio Spurs 1H | 1% | 54% | — |
San Antonio Spurs 1H spread minus 0.5 | — | 54% | — |
San Antonio Spurs spread minus 1.5 | 1% | 54% | — |
Total 1H over 106.5 | 99% | 54% | — |
Total over 217.5 | — | 53% | — |
Total under 219.5 | — | 52% | — |
Oklahoma City Thunder spread plus 2.5 | — | 50% | — |
San Antonio Spurs spread minus 2.5 | 1% | 50% | — |
Total over 219.5 | — | 48% | — |
Total under 217.5 | — | 47% | — |
Oklahoma City Thunder 1H | 99% | 46% | — |
Oklahoma City Thunder 1H spread plus 0.5 | — | 46% | — |
Oklahoma City Thunder spread plus 1.5 | — | 46% | — |
Total 1H under 106.5 | — | 46% | — |
Total under 216.5 | — | 44% | — |
Total 1H under 105.5 | — | 42% | — |
Total over 222.5 | — | 42% | — |
Total under 215.5 | — | 41% | — |
Oklahoma City Thunder spread minus 3.5 | 99% | 39% | — |
San Antonio Spurs spread minus 5.5 | 1% | 39% | — |
Total under 213.5 | — | 37% | — |
Total over 225.5 | — | 35% | — |
Oklahoma City Thunder spread minus 6.5 | 99% | 31% | — |
San Antonio Spurs | 1% | 54% | 6% |
San Antonio Spurs spread minus 8.5 | 1% | 29% | — |
Total under 210.5 | — | 29% | — |
Total under 207.5 | — | 25% | — |
Oklahoma City Thunder spread minus 9.5 | 99% | 23% | — |
San Antonio Spurs spread minus 11.5 | 1% | 23% | — |
Oklahoma City wins the 1H by over 15.5 points | 2% | — | — |
San Antonio wins by over 23.5 points | 2% | — | — |
Oklahoma City wins by over 15.5 points | 1% | — | — |
Oklahoma City wins by over 16.5 points | 1% | — | — |
Oklahoma City wins by over 17.5 points | 1% | — | — |
Oklahoma City wins by over 18.5 points | 1% | — | — |
Oklahoma City wins by over 19.5 points | 1% | — | — |
Oklahoma City wins by over 20.5 points | 1% | — | — |
Oklahoma City wins the 1H by over 12.5 points | 1% | — | — |
Oklahoma City wins the 1H by over 18.5 points | 1% | — | — |
Oklahoma City wins the 1H by over 21.5 points | 1% | — | — |
Oklahoma City wins the 1H by over 9.5 points | 1% | — | — |
Over 109.5 1H points scored | 1% | — | — |
Over 112.5 1H points scored | 1% | — | — |
Over 115.5 1H points scored | 1% | — | — |
Over 118.5 1H points scored | 1% | — | — |
San Antonio wins by over 10.5 points | 1% | — | — |
San Antonio wins by over 12.5 points | 1% | — | — |
San Antonio wins by over 13.5 points | 1% | — | — |
San Antonio wins by over 14.5 points | 1% | — | — |
San Antonio wins by over 15.5 points | 1% | — | — |
San Antonio wins by over 16.5 points | 1% | — | — |
San Antonio wins by over 17.5 points | 1% | — | — |
San Antonio wins by over 18.5 points | 1% | — | — |
San Antonio wins by over 19.5 points | 1% | — | — |
San Antonio wins by over 20.5 points | 1% | — | — |
San Antonio wins by over 21.5 points | 1% | — | — |
San Antonio wins by over 22.5 points | 1% | — | — |
San Antonio wins by over 24.5 points | 1% | — | — |
San Antonio wins by over 25.5 points | 1% | — | — |
San Antonio wins by over 3.5 points | 1% | — | — |
San Antonio wins by over 4.5 points | 1% | — | — |
San Antonio wins by over 6.5 points | 1% | — | — |
San Antonio wins by over 7.5 points | 1% | — | — |
San Antonio wins by over 9.5 points | 1% | — | — |
San Antonio wins the 1H by over 12.5 points | 1% | — | — |
San Antonio wins the 1H by over 15.5 points | 1% | — | — |
San Antonio wins the 1H by over 18.5 points | 1% | — | — |
San Antonio wins the 1H by over 21.5 points | 1% | — | — |
San Antonio wins the 1H by over 24.5 points | 1% | — | — |
San Antonio wins the 1H by over 3.5 points | 1% | — | — |
San Antonio wins the 1H by over 6.5 points | 1% | — | — |
San Antonio wins the 1H by over 9.5 points | 1% | — | — |
Tie | 1% | — | — |
Oklahoma City Thunder
80.0% avg
