Live prediction market odds for Magic vs. Cavaliers. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-26
This market resolved on 2026-01-26. Cleveland Cavaliers was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 80%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Cleveland CavaliersWINNER | 99% | 62% |
Orlando | 1% | 39% |
Magic vs. Cavaliers was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Cleveland Cavaliers led the market at 80% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Orlando at 20%.
Cleveland Cavaliers held the lead at 80% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Cleveland Cavaliers, Orlando at 20% were the next closest contenders. The 37.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Cleveland Cavaliers: 99¢ on Kalshi, 62¢ on Polymarket. Orlando: 1¢ on Kalshi, 39¢ on Polymarket. The 37.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 80¢ meant the market estimated a 80% chance that Cleveland Cavaliers would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 80¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 25% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Cleveland Cavaliers
80.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Cleveland wins the Orlando at Cleveland professional basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
