Live prediction market odds for Magic vs. Nuggets. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-12-18
This market resolved on 2025-12-18. Denver Nuggets was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 85%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Denver NuggetsWINNER | 99% | 71% |
Orlando | 1% | 30% |
Magic vs. Nuggets was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Denver Nuggets led the market at 85% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Orlando at 15%.
Denver Nuggets held the lead at 85% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Denver Nuggets, Orlando at 15% were the next closest contenders. The 28.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Denver Nuggets: 99¢ on Kalshi, 71¢ on Polymarket. Orlando: 1¢ on Kalshi, 30¢ on Polymarket. The 28.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 85¢ meant the market estimated a 85% chance that Denver Nuggets would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 85¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 18% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Denver Nuggets
84.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Denver wins the Orlando vs Denver professional basketball game originally scheduled for Dec 18, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
