Live prediction market odds for Magic vs. Grizzlies. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-18
This market resolved on 2026-01-18. Memphis Grizzlies was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Memphis GrizzliesWINNER | 99% | 100% |
Orlando | 1% | 0% |
Magic vs. Grizzlies was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Memphis Grizzlies led the market at 100% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Orlando at 1%.
Memphis Grizzlies held the lead at 100% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Memphis Grizzlies, Orlando at 1% were the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Memphis Grizzlies: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Orlando: 1¢ on Kalshi, 0¢ on Polymarket. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 100¢ meant the market estimated a 100% chance that Memphis Grizzlies would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 100¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 0% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Memphis Grizzlies
99.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Memphis wins the Orlando at Memphis professional basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
