Live prediction market odds for Magic vs. Thunder. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-02-03
This market resolved on 2026-02-03. Oklahoma City was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 89%.
nba-orl-okc-2026-02-03 : Sports event: Magic vs. Thunder - nba
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Oklahoma CityWINNER | 99% | 79% |
Orlando | 1% | 22% |
Magic vs. Thunder was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Oklahoma City led the market at 89% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Orlando at 11%.
Oklahoma City held the lead at 89% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Oklahoma City, Orlando at 11% were the next closest contenders. The 20.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Oklahoma City: 99¢ on Kalshi, 79¢ on Polymarket. Orlando: 1¢ on Kalshi, 22¢ on Polymarket. The 20.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 89¢ meant the market estimated a 89% chance that Oklahoma City would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 89¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 12% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Oklahoma City
88.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Oklahoma City wins the Orlando at Oklahoma City professional basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
