Live prediction market odds for Magic vs. Suns. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-02-21
This market resolved on 2026-02-21. Phoenix Suns was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 65%.
nba-orl-phx-2026-02-21 : Sports event: Magic vs. Suns - nba
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Phoenix SunsWINNER | 65% | 59% | 99% |
Orlando Magic | 34% | 42% | 39% |
Magic vs. Suns was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Phoenix Suns led the market at 74% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Orlando Magic at 38%.
Phoenix Suns held the lead at 74% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Phoenix Suns, Orlando Magic at 38% were the next closest contenders. The 40.9% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Phoenix Suns: 65¢ on Kalshi, 59¢ on Polymarket, 99¢ on ProphetX. Orlando Magic: 34¢ on Kalshi, 42¢ on Polymarket, 39¢ on ProphetX. The 40.9% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 74¢ meant the market estimated a 74% chance that Phoenix Suns would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 74¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 35% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Phoenix Suns
74.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Phoenix wins the Orlando at Phoenix professional basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
