Live prediction market odds for Magic vs. Kings. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-02-19
This market resolved on 2026-02-19. Orlando Magic was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 76%.
nba-orl-sac-2026-02-19 : Sports event: Magic vs. Kings - nba
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Orlando MagicWINNER | 76% | 76% | 99% |
Sacramento Kings | 25% | 25% | 3% |
Magic vs. Kings was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Orlando Magic led the market at 84% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Sacramento Kings at 18%.
Orlando Magic held the lead at 84% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Orlando Magic, Sacramento Kings at 18% were the next closest contenders. The 24.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Orlando Magic: 76¢ on Kalshi, 76¢ on Polymarket, 99¢ on ProphetX. Sacramento Kings: 25¢ on Kalshi, 25¢ on Polymarket, 3¢ on ProphetX. The 24.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 84¢ meant the market estimated a 84% chance that Orlando Magic would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 84¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 19% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Orlando Magic
83.7% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Sacramento wins the Orlando at Sacramento professional basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
