Live prediction market odds for Magic vs. Raptors. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-12-29
This market resolved on 2025-12-29. Toronto was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 74%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
TorontoWINNER | 99% | 49% |
Orlando | 1% | 52% |
Magic vs. Raptors was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Toronto led the market at 74% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Orlando at 26%.
Toronto held the lead at 74% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Toronto, Orlando at 26% were the next closest contenders. The 50.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Toronto: 99¢ on Kalshi, 49¢ on Polymarket. Orlando: 1¢ on Kalshi, 52¢ on Polymarket. The 50.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 74¢ meant the market estimated a 74% chance that Toronto would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 74¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 35% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Toronto
73.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Toronto wins the Orlando vs Toronto professional basketball game originally scheduled for Dec 29, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
