Live prediction market odds for Magic vs. Jazz. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-12-20
This market resolved on 2025-12-20. Orlando was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 86%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
OrlandoWINNER | 99% | 74% |
Utah | 1% | 27% |
Magic vs. Jazz was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Orlando led the market at 86% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Utah at 14%.
Orlando held the lead at 86% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Orlando, Utah at 14% were the next closest contenders. The 25.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Orlando: 99¢ on Kalshi, 74¢ on Polymarket. Utah: 1¢ on Kalshi, 27¢ on Polymarket. The 25.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 86¢ meant the market estimated a 86% chance that Orlando would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 86¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 16% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Orlando
86.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Utah wins the Orlando vs Utah professional basketball game originally scheduled for Dec 20, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
