Live prediction market odds for Magic vs. Wizards. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-06
This market resolved on 2026-01-06. Washington was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 63%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
WashingtonWINNER | 99% | 28% |
Orlando | 1% | 73% |
Magic vs. Wizards was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Washington led the market at 63% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Orlando at 37%.
Washington held the lead at 63% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Washington, Orlando at 37% were the next closest contenders. The 71.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Washington: 99¢ on Kalshi, 28¢ on Polymarket. Orlando: 1¢ on Kalshi, 73¢ on Polymarket. The 71.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 63¢ meant the market estimated a 63% chance that Washington would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 63¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 59% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Washington
63.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Washington wins the Orlando at Washington professional basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
