Live prediction market odds for 76ers vs. Warriors. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-02-03
This market resolved on 2026-02-03. Philadelphia was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 68%.
nba-phi-gsw-2026-02-03 : Sports event: 76ers vs. Warriors - nba
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
PhiladelphiaWINNER | 99% | 37% |
Golden State Warriors | 1% | 64% |
76ers vs. Warriors was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Philadelphia led the market at 68% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Golden State Warriors at 32%.
Philadelphia held the lead at 68% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Philadelphia, Golden State Warriors at 32% were the next closest contenders. The 62.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Philadelphia: 99¢ on Kalshi, 37¢ on Polymarket. Golden State Warriors: 1¢ on Kalshi, 64¢ on Polymarket. The 62.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 68¢ meant the market estimated a 68% chance that Philadelphia would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 68¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 47% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Philadelphia
67.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Philadelphia wins the Philadelphia at Golden State professional basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
