About This Market
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Live prediction market odds for Suns vs. Rockets. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-12-05
This market resolved on 2025-12-05. Houston Rockets was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 89%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|
Houston RocketsWINNER | 99% | 80% |
Houston RocketsWINNER | 99% | 73% |
Phoenix | 1% | 28% |
Phoenix | 1% | 21% |
Suns vs. Rockets was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Houston Rockets led the market at 89% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Houston Rockets at 86%, Phoenix at 14%, Phoenix at 11%.
Houston Rockets held the lead at 89% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Houston Rockets, Houston Rockets at 86% and Phoenix at 14% and Phoenix at 11% were the next closest contenders. The 26.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Houston Rockets: 99¢ on Kalshi, 80¢ on Polymarket. Houston Rockets: 99¢ on Kalshi, 73¢ on Polymarket. Phoenix: 1¢ on Kalshi, 28¢ on Polymarket. Phoenix: 1¢ on Kalshi, 21¢ on Polymarket. The 26.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 89¢ meant the market estimated a 89% chance that Houston Rockets would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 89¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 12% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Houston Rockets
89.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Houston wins the Phoenix vs Houston professional basketball game originally scheduled for Dec 5, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.