Live prediction market odds for Suns vs. Heat. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-13
This market resolved on 2026-01-13. Miami Heat was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 76%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Miami HeatWINNER | 99% | 53% |
Phoenix | 1% | 48% |
Suns vs. Heat was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Miami Heat led the market at 76% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Phoenix at 24%.
Miami Heat held the lead at 76% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Miami Heat, Phoenix at 24% were the next closest contenders. The 46.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Miami Heat: 99¢ on Kalshi, 53¢ on Polymarket. Phoenix: 1¢ on Kalshi, 48¢ on Polymarket. The 46.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 76¢ meant the market estimated a 76% chance that Miami Heat would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 76¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 32% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Miami Heat
75.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Phoenix wins the Phoenix at Miami professional basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
