Question 1

What was "Phoenix Suns vs. Milwaukee Bucks" and why did it matter?

Accepted Answer

Phoenix Suns vs. Milwaukee Bucks was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Phoenix led the market at 84% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Milwaukee Bucks at 18%.

Question 2

What moved the odds on "Phoenix Suns vs. Milwaukee Bucks"?

Accepted Answer

Phoenix held the lead at 84% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Phoenix, Milwaukee Bucks at 18% were the next closest contenders. The 44.7% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

Question 3

What were the final odds for "Phoenix Suns vs. Milwaukee Bucks" across platforms?

Accepted Answer

Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Phoenix: 99¢ on Kalshi, 55¢ on Polymarket, 99¢ on ProphetX. Milwaukee Bucks: 1¢ on Kalshi, 46¢ on Polymarket, 8¢ on ProphetX. The 44.7% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

Question 4

What did 84% odds for Phoenix mean?

Accepted Answer

A price of 84¢ meant the market estimated a 84% chance that Phoenix would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 84¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 19% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.

Candidate
PhoenixWINNER	99%	55%	99%
Milwaukee Bucks	1%	46%	8%

Phoenix Wins: Phoenix Suns vs. Milwaukee Bucks

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Frequently Asked Questions

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: Phoenix Suns vs. Milwaukee Bucks