Live prediction market odds for Suns vs. Timberwolves. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-12-08
This market resolved on 2025-12-08. Phoenix was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 60%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
PhoenixWINNER | 99% | 22% |
Minnesota Timberwolves | 1% | 79% |
Suns vs. Timberwolves was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Phoenix led the market at 60% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Minnesota Timberwolves at 40%.
Phoenix held the lead at 60% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Phoenix, Minnesota Timberwolves at 40% were the next closest contenders. The 77.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Phoenix: 99¢ on Kalshi, 22¢ on Polymarket. Minnesota Timberwolves: 1¢ on Kalshi, 79¢ on Polymarket. The 77.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 60¢ meant the market estimated a 60% chance that Phoenix would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 60¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 67% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Phoenix
60.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Minnesota wins the Phoenix vs Minnesota professional basketball game originally scheduled for Dec 8, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
