Live prediction market odds for Suns vs. Thunder. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-11-28
This market resolved on 2025-11-28. Oklahoma City was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 94%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Oklahoma CityWINNER | 99% | 90% |
Oklahoma CityWINNER | 99% | 89% |
Phoenix | 1% | 12% |
Phoenix | 1% | 11% |
Suns vs. Thunder was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Oklahoma City led the market at 94% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Oklahoma City at 94%, Phoenix at 6%, Phoenix at 6%.
Oklahoma City held the lead at 94% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Oklahoma City, Oklahoma City at 94% and Phoenix at 6% and Phoenix at 6% were the next closest contenders. The 10.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Oklahoma City: 99¢ on Kalshi, 90¢ on Polymarket. Oklahoma City: 99¢ on Kalshi, 89¢ on Polymarket. Phoenix: 1¢ on Kalshi, 12¢ on Polymarket. Phoenix: 1¢ on Kalshi, 11¢ on Polymarket. The 10.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 94¢ meant the market estimated a 94% chance that Oklahoma City would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 94¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 6% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Oklahoma City
94.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Oklahoma City wins the Phoenix vs Oklahoma City professional basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 28, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
