About This Market
SharePhoenix Suns vs. Oklahoma City Thunder — NBA game held on 2026-04-12. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Phoenix Suns vs. Oklahoma City Thunder. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-04-12
This market resolved on 2026-04-12. Phoenix Suns was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Phoenix Suns vs. Oklahoma City Thunder — NBA game held on 2026-04-12. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|---|
Phoenix SunsWINNER | 99% | 26% | 99% |
Oklahoma City Thunder | 1% | 75% | 4% |
Phoenix Suns vs. Oklahoma City Thunder was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Phoenix Suns led the market at 74% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Oklahoma City Thunder at 27%.
Phoenix Suns held the lead at 74% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Phoenix Suns, Oklahoma City Thunder at 27% were the next closest contenders. The 73.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Phoenix Suns: 99¢ on Kalshi, 26¢ on Polymarket, 99¢ on ProphetX. Oklahoma City Thunder: 1¢ on Kalshi, 75¢ on Polymarket, 4¢ on ProphetX. The 73.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 74¢ meant the market estimated a 74% chance that Phoenix Suns would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 74¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 35% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Phoenix wins the Phoenix at Oklahoma City professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketIn the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 12 at 8:30PM ET: If the Suns win, the market will resolve to "Suns". If the Thunder win, the market will resolve to "Thunder". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
Phoenix Suns
74.4% avg