Question 1

What was "Suns vs. Spurs" and why did it matter?

Accepted Answer

Suns vs. Spurs was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). San Antonio Spurs led the market at 81% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Phoenix Suns at 20%.

Question 2

What moved the odds on "Suns vs. Spurs"?

Accepted Answer

San Antonio Spurs held the lead at 81% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind San Antonio Spurs, Phoenix Suns at 20% were the next closest contenders. The 26.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

Question 3

What were the final odds for "Suns vs. Spurs" across platforms?

Accepted Answer

Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: San Antonio Spurs: 72¢ on Kalshi, 72¢ on Polymarket, 98¢ on ProphetX. Phoenix Suns: 29¢ on Kalshi, 29¢ on Polymarket, 3¢ on ProphetX. The 26.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

Question 4

What did 81% odds for San Antonio Spurs mean?

Accepted Answer

A price of 81¢ meant the market estimated a 81% chance that San Antonio Spurs would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 81¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 23% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.

Candidate
San Antonio SpursWINNER	72%	72%	98%
Phoenix Suns	29%	29%	3%

San Antonio Spurs Wins: Suns vs. Spurs

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Frequently Asked Questions

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: Suns vs. Spurs