About This Market
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Live prediction market odds for Suns vs. Trail Blazers. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-11-18
This market resolved on 2025-11-18. Phoenix was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 79%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|
PhoenixWINNER | 99% | 60% |
Portland | 1% | 41% |
Suns vs. Trail Blazers was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Phoenix led the market at 79% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Portland at 21%.
Phoenix held the lead at 79% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Phoenix, Portland at 21% were the next closest contenders. The 39.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Phoenix: 99¢ on Kalshi, 60¢ on Polymarket. Portland: 1¢ on Kalshi, 41¢ on Polymarket. The 39.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 79¢ meant the market estimated a 79% chance that Phoenix would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 79¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 27% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Phoenix
79.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Phoenix wins the Phoenix at Portland professional basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.