Live prediction market odds for Kings vs. Cavaliers. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-23
This market resolved on 2026-01-23. Cleveland Cavaliers was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 91%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Cleveland CavaliersWINNER | 99% | 84% |
Sacramento | 1% | 17% |
Kings vs. Cavaliers was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Cleveland Cavaliers led the market at 91% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Sacramento at 9%.
Cleveland Cavaliers held the lead at 91% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Cleveland Cavaliers, Sacramento at 9% were the next closest contenders. The 15.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Cleveland Cavaliers: 99¢ on Kalshi, 84¢ on Polymarket. Sacramento: 1¢ on Kalshi, 17¢ on Polymarket. The 15.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 91¢ meant the market estimated a 91% chance that Cleveland Cavaliers would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 91¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 10% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Cleveland Cavaliers
91.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Sacramento wins the Sacramento at Cleveland professional basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
