About This Market
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Live prediction market odds for Kings vs. Pistons. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-25
This market resolved on 2026-01-25. Detroit Pistons was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 90%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|
Detroit PistonsWINNER | 99% | 81% |
Sacramento | 1% | 20% |
Kings vs. Pistons was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Detroit Pistons led the market at 90% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Sacramento at 10%.
Detroit Pistons held the lead at 90% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Detroit Pistons, Sacramento at 10% were the next closest contenders. The 18.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Detroit Pistons: 99¢ on Kalshi, 81¢ on Polymarket. Sacramento: 1¢ on Kalshi, 20¢ on Polymarket. The 18.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 90¢ meant the market estimated a 90% chance that Detroit Pistons would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 90¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 11% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Detroit Pistons
89.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Sacramento wins the Sacramento at Detroit professional basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.