Live prediction market odds for Kings vs. Warriors. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-09
This market resolved on 2026-01-09. Golden State Warriors was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 92%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Golden State WarriorsWINNER | 99% | 86% |
Sacramento | 1% | 15% |
Kings vs. Warriors was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Golden State Warriors led the market at 92% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Sacramento at 8%.
Golden State Warriors held the lead at 92% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Golden State Warriors, Sacramento at 8% were the next closest contenders. The 13.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Golden State Warriors: 99¢ on Kalshi, 86¢ on Polymarket. Sacramento: 1¢ on Kalshi, 15¢ on Polymarket. The 13.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 92¢ meant the market estimated a 92% chance that Golden State Warriors would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 92¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 9% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Golden State Warriors
92.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Sacramento wins the Sacramento at Golden State professional basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
