About This Market
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Live prediction market odds for Kings vs. Rockets. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-12-03
This market resolved on 2025-12-03. Houston Rockets was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 94%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|
Houston RocketsWINNER | 99% | 90% |
Sacramento | 1% | 11% |
Kings vs. Rockets was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Houston Rockets led the market at 94% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Sacramento at 6%.
Houston Rockets held the lead at 94% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Houston Rockets, Sacramento at 6% were the next closest contenders. The 9.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Houston Rockets: 99¢ on Kalshi, 90¢ on Polymarket. Sacramento: 1¢ on Kalshi, 11¢ on Polymarket. The 9.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 94¢ meant the market estimated a 94% chance that Houston Rockets would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 94¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 6% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Houston Rockets
94.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Houston wins the Sacramento vs Houston professional basketball game originally scheduled for Dec 3, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.