Live prediction market odds for Kings vs. Lakers. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-12-28
This market resolved on 2025-12-28. Los Angeles Lakers was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 91%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Los Angeles LakersWINNER | 99% | 83% |
Sacramento | 1% | 18% |
Kings vs. Lakers was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Los Angeles Lakers led the market at 91% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Sacramento at 9%.
Los Angeles Lakers held the lead at 91% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Los Angeles Lakers, Sacramento at 9% were the next closest contenders. The 16.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Los Angeles Lakers: 99¢ on Kalshi, 83¢ on Polymarket. Sacramento: 1¢ on Kalshi, 18¢ on Polymarket. The 16.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 91¢ meant the market estimated a 91% chance that Los Angeles Lakers would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 91¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 10% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Los Angeles Lakers
90.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Sacramento wins the Sacramento vs Los Angeles L professional basketball game originally scheduled for Dec 28, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
