Live prediction market odds for Kings vs. Lakers. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-03-01
This market resolved on 2026-03-01. Los Angeles Lakers was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 86%.
nba-sac-lal-2026-03-01 : Sports event: Kings vs. Lakers - nba
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Los Angeles LakersWINNER | 86% | 85% | 99% |
Sacramento Kings | 16% | 16% | 2% |
Kings vs. Lakers was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Los Angeles Lakers led the market at 90% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Sacramento Kings at 11%.
Los Angeles Lakers held the lead at 90% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Los Angeles Lakers, Sacramento Kings at 11% were the next closest contenders. The 14.4% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Los Angeles Lakers: 86¢ on Kalshi, 85¢ on Polymarket, 99¢ on ProphetX. Sacramento Kings: 16¢ on Kalshi, 16¢ on Polymarket, 2¢ on ProphetX. The 14.4% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 90¢ meant the market estimated a 90% chance that Los Angeles Lakers would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 90¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 11% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
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Los Angeles Lakers
89.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Los Angeles L wins the Sacramento at Los Angeles L professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
