Live prediction market odds for Kings vs. Heat. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-12-06
This market resolved on 2025-12-06. Sacramento was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 61%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
SacramentoWINNER | 99% | 24% |
Miami Heat | 1% | 77% |
Kings vs. Heat was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Sacramento led the market at 61% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Miami Heat at 39%.
Sacramento held the lead at 61% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Sacramento, Miami Heat at 39% were the next closest contenders. The 75.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Sacramento: 99¢ on Kalshi, 24¢ on Polymarket. Miami Heat: 1¢ on Kalshi, 77¢ on Polymarket. The 75.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 61¢ meant the market estimated a 61% chance that Sacramento would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 61¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 64% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Sacramento
61.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Miami wins the Sacramento vs Miami professional basketball game originally scheduled for Dec 6, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
