Live prediction market odds for Kings vs. Pelicans. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-02-09
This market resolved on 2026-02-09. New Orleans was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 88%.
nba-sac-nop-2026-02-09 : Sports event: Kings vs. Pelicans - nba
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
New OrleansWINNER | 99% | 78% |
Sacramento | 1% | 23% |
Kings vs. Pelicans was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). New Orleans led the market at 88% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Sacramento at 12%.
New Orleans held the lead at 88% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind New Orleans, Sacramento at 12% were the next closest contenders. The 21.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: New Orleans: 99¢ on Kalshi, 78¢ on Polymarket. Sacramento: 1¢ on Kalshi, 23¢ on Polymarket. The 21.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 88¢ meant the market estimated a 88% chance that New Orleans would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 88¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 14% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
New Orleans
88.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf New Orleans wins the Sacramento at New Orleans professional basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
