Live prediction market odds for Kings vs. Suns. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-02
This market resolved on 2026-01-02. Phoenix was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 92%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
PhoenixWINNER | 99% | 86% |
Sacramento | 1% | 15% |
Kings vs. Suns was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Phoenix led the market at 92% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Sacramento at 8%.
Phoenix held the lead at 92% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Phoenix, Sacramento at 8% were the next closest contenders. The 13.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Phoenix: 99¢ on Kalshi, 86¢ on Polymarket. Sacramento: 1¢ on Kalshi, 15¢ on Polymarket. The 13.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 92¢ meant the market estimated a 92% chance that Phoenix would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 92¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 9% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Phoenix
92.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Phoenix wins the Sacramento vs Phoenix professional basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
