Question 1

What was "Kings vs. Spurs" and why did it matter?

Accepted Answer

Kings vs. Spurs was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). San Antonio Spurs led the market at 95% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Sacramento Kings at 6%.

Question 2

What moved the odds on "Kings vs. Spurs"?

Accepted Answer

San Antonio Spurs held the lead at 95% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind San Antonio Spurs, Sacramento Kings at 6% were the next closest contenders. The 6.3% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

Question 3

What were the final odds for "Kings vs. Spurs" across platforms?

Accepted Answer

Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: San Antonio Spurs: 93¢ on Kalshi, 93¢ on Polymarket, 99¢ on ProphetX. Sacramento Kings: 8¢ on Kalshi, 8¢ on Polymarket, 3¢ on ProphetX. The 6.3% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

Question 4

What did 95% odds for San Antonio Spurs mean?

Accepted Answer

A price of 95¢ meant the market estimated a 95% chance that San Antonio Spurs would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 95¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 5% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.

Candidate
San Antonio SpursWINNER	93%	93%	99%
Sacramento Kings	8%	8%	3%

San Antonio Spurs Wins: Kings vs. Spurs

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Frequently Asked Questions

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: Kings vs. Spurs