Live prediction market odds for Kings vs. Wizards. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-02-01
This market resolved on 2026-02-01. Washington was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 88%.
nba-sac-was-2026-02-01 : Sports event: Kings vs. Wizards - nba
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
WashingtonWINNER | 99% | 77% |
Sacramento | 1% | 23% |
Kings vs. Wizards was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Washington led the market at 88% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Sacramento at 12%.
Washington held the lead at 88% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Washington, Sacramento at 12% were the next closest contenders. The 22.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Washington: 99¢ on Kalshi, 77¢ on Polymarket. Sacramento: 1¢ on Kalshi, 23¢ on Polymarket. The 22.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 88¢ meant the market estimated a 88% chance that Washington would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 88¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 14% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Washington
88.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Washington wins the Sacramento at Washington professional basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
