Live prediction market odds for Spurs vs. Cavaliers. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-12-05
This market resolved on 2025-12-05. Cleveland Cavaliers was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 79%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Cleveland CavaliersWINNER | 99% | 60% |
San Antonio | 1% | 41% |
Spurs vs. Cavaliers was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Cleveland Cavaliers led the market at 79% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include San Antonio at 21%.
Cleveland Cavaliers held the lead at 79% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Cleveland Cavaliers, San Antonio at 21% were the next closest contenders. The 39.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Cleveland Cavaliers: 99¢ on Kalshi, 60¢ on Polymarket. San Antonio: 1¢ on Kalshi, 41¢ on Polymarket. The 39.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 79¢ meant the market estimated a 79% chance that Cleveland Cavaliers would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 79¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 27% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Cleveland Cavaliers
79.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Cleveland wins the San Antonio vs Cleveland professional basketball game originally scheduled for Dec 5, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
