Live prediction market odds for Spurs vs. Mavericks. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-02-05
This market resolved on 2026-02-05. San Antonio was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 86%.
nba-sas-dal-2026-02-05 : Sports event: Spurs vs. Mavericks - nba
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
San AntonioWINNER | 99% | 74% |
Dallas Mavericks | 1% | 27% |
Spurs vs. Mavericks was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). San Antonio led the market at 86% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Dallas Mavericks at 14%.
San Antonio held the lead at 86% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind San Antonio, Dallas Mavericks at 14% were the next closest contenders. The 25.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: San Antonio: 99¢ on Kalshi, 74¢ on Polymarket. Dallas Mavericks: 1¢ on Kalshi, 27¢ on Polymarket. The 25.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 86¢ meant the market estimated a 86% chance that San Antonio would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 86¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 16% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
San Antonio
86.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf San Antonio wins the San Antonio at Dallas professional basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
