Live prediction market odds for Spurs vs. Warriors. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-02-11
This market resolved on 2026-02-11. San Antonio was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 67%.
nba-sas-gsw-2026-02-11 : Sports event: Spurs vs. Warriors - nba
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
San AntonioWINNER | 67% | 67% | 96% |
Golden State Warriors | 33% | 34% | 8% |
Spurs vs. Warriors was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). San Antonio led the market at 77% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Golden State Warriors at 25%.
San Antonio held the lead at 77% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind San Antonio, Golden State Warriors at 25% were the next closest contenders. The 29.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: San Antonio: 67¢ on Kalshi, 67¢ on Polymarket, 96¢ on ProphetX. Golden State Warriors: 33¢ on Kalshi, 34¢ on Polymarket, 8¢ on ProphetX. The 29.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 77¢ meant the market estimated a 77% chance that San Antonio would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 77¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 30% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
San Antonio
76.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf San Antonio wins the San Antonio at Golden State professional basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
