Live prediction market odds for Spurs vs. Grizzlies. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-06
This market resolved on 2026-01-06. Memphis Grizzlies was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 65%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Memphis GrizzliesWINNER | 99% | 32% |
San Antonio | 1% | 69% |
Spurs vs. Grizzlies was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Memphis Grizzlies led the market at 65% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include San Antonio at 35%.
Memphis Grizzlies held the lead at 65% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Memphis Grizzlies, San Antonio at 35% were the next closest contenders. The 67.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Memphis Grizzlies: 99¢ on Kalshi, 32¢ on Polymarket. San Antonio: 1¢ on Kalshi, 69¢ on Polymarket. The 67.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 65¢ meant the market estimated a 65% chance that Memphis Grizzlies would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 65¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 54% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Memphis Grizzlies
65.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Memphis wins the San Antonio at Memphis professional basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
