About This Market
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Live prediction market odds for Spurs vs. Timberwolves. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-11-30
This market resolved on 2025-11-30. Minnesota Timberwolves was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 81%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|
Minnesota TimberwolvesWINNER | 99% | 64% |
Minnesota TimberwolvesWINNER | 99% | 56% |
San Antonio | 1% | 45% |
San Antonio | 1% | 37% |
Spurs vs. Timberwolves was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Minnesota Timberwolves led the market at 81% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Minnesota Timberwolves at 77%, San Antonio at 23%, San Antonio at 19%.
Minnesota Timberwolves held the lead at 81% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Minnesota Timberwolves, Minnesota Timberwolves at 77% and San Antonio at 23% and San Antonio at 19% were the next closest contenders. The 43.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Minnesota Timberwolves: 99¢ on Kalshi, 64¢ on Polymarket. Minnesota Timberwolves: 99¢ on Kalshi, 56¢ on Polymarket. San Antonio: 1¢ on Kalshi, 45¢ on Polymarket. San Antonio: 1¢ on Kalshi, 37¢ on Polymarket. The 43.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 81¢ meant the market estimated a 81% chance that Minnesota Timberwolves would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 81¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 23% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Minnesota Timberwolves
81.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf San Antonio wins the San Antonio vs Minnesota professional basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 30, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.