About This Market
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Live prediction market odds for Spurs vs. Pelicans. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-12-08
This market resolved on 2025-12-08. San Antonio was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 89%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|
San AntonioWINNER | 99% | 79% |
New Orleans | 1% | 22% |
Spurs vs. Pelicans was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). San Antonio led the market at 89% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include New Orleans at 11%.
San Antonio held the lead at 89% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind San Antonio, New Orleans at 11% were the next closest contenders. The 20.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: San Antonio: 99¢ on Kalshi, 79¢ on Polymarket. New Orleans: 1¢ on Kalshi, 22¢ on Polymarket. The 20.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 89¢ meant the market estimated a 89% chance that San Antonio would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 89¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 12% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
San Antonio
88.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf New Orleans wins the San Antonio vs New Orleans professional basketball game originally scheduled for Dec 8, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.