Live prediction market odds for Spurs vs. Thunder. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-12-13
This market resolved on 2025-12-13. San Antonio was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
San AntonioWINNER | 99% | 100% |
Oklahoma City | 99% | 73% |
San AntonioWINNER | 99% | 19% |
Oklahoma City | 1% | 82% |
San AntonioWINNER | 1% | 28% |
Oklahoma City | 1% | 5% |
Spurs vs. Thunder was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). San Antonio led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Oklahoma City at 86%, San Antonio at 59%, Oklahoma City at 41%.
San Antonio held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind San Antonio, Oklahoma City at 86% and San Antonio at 59% and Oklahoma City at 41% were the next closest contenders. The 80.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: San Antonio: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Oklahoma City: 99¢ on Kalshi, 73¢ on Polymarket. San Antonio: 99¢ on Kalshi, 19¢ on Polymarket. Oklahoma City: 1¢ on Kalshi, 82¢ on Polymarket. The 80.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 99¢ meant the market estimated a 99% chance that San Antonio would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 99¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 1% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
San Antonio
99.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Oklahoma City wins the San Antonio vs Oklahoma City professional basketball game originally scheduled for Dec 13, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
