Live prediction market odds for Spurs vs. Magic. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-12-03
This market resolved on 2025-12-03. San Antonio was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 63%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
San AntonioWINNER | 99% | 27% |
Orlando | 1% | 74% |
Spurs vs. Magic was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). San Antonio led the market at 63% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Orlando at 37%.
San Antonio held the lead at 63% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind San Antonio, Orlando at 37% were the next closest contenders. The 72.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: San Antonio: 99¢ on Kalshi, 27¢ on Polymarket. Orlando: 1¢ on Kalshi, 74¢ on Polymarket. The 72.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 63¢ meant the market estimated a 63% chance that San Antonio would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 63¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 59% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
San Antonio
62.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Orlando wins the San Antonio vs Orlando professional basketball game originally scheduled for Dec 3, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
