About This Market
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Live prediction market odds for Raptors vs. Hornets. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-11-29
This market resolved on 2025-11-29. Toronto was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 78%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|
TorontoWINNER | 99% | 57% |
Charlotte Hornets | 99% | 12% |
TorontoWINNER | 1% | 88% |
Charlotte Hornets | 1% | 44% |
Raptors vs. Hornets was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Toronto led the market at 78% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Charlotte Hornets at 56%, Toronto at 45%, Charlotte Hornets at 22%.
Toronto held the lead at 78% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Toronto, Charlotte Hornets at 56% and Toronto at 45% and Charlotte Hornets at 22% were the next closest contenders. The 87.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Toronto: 99¢ on Kalshi, 57¢ on Polymarket. Charlotte Hornets: 99¢ on Kalshi, 12¢ on Polymarket. Toronto: 1¢ on Kalshi, 88¢ on Polymarket. Charlotte Hornets: 1¢ on Kalshi, 44¢ on Polymarket. The 87.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 78¢ meant the market estimated a 78% chance that Toronto would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 78¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 28% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Toronto
77.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Toronto wins the Toronto vs Charlotte professional basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 29, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.