Live prediction market odds for Raptors vs. Warriors. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-20
This market resolved on 2026-01-20. Toronto was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 70%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
TorontoWINNER | 99% | 41% |
Golden State Warriors | 1% | 60% |
Raptors vs. Warriors was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Toronto led the market at 70% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Golden State Warriors at 30%.
Toronto held the lead at 70% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Toronto, Golden State Warriors at 30% were the next closest contenders. The 58.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Toronto: 99¢ on Kalshi, 41¢ on Polymarket. Golden State Warriors: 1¢ on Kalshi, 60¢ on Polymarket. The 58.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 70¢ meant the market estimated a 70% chance that Toronto would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 70¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 43% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Toronto
69.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Toronto wins the Toronto at Golden State professional basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
